BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Lake Mills
Class: 1A Class Rank: 25 Conference: 1A-3 Record: (11-16-0) Overall: (36-56-0) Overall Strength = 60.61
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/31/2001 Home L 30.81 0 39 A 5 ( 77- 27- 0) Northwood-Kensett -29.73 -9.27
2 09/07/2001 Away L 44.45 0 18 A 14 ( 42- 49- 0) Belmond-Klemme -16.09 -1.91
3 09/15/2001 Home L 36.42 13 35 ZZ 57 ( 17- 12- 0) Sumner -24.11 2.11
4 09/21/2001 Away L 68.46 12 16 1A 13 ( 64- 32- 0) Turkey Valley 7.92 -11.92
5 09/28/2001 Home L 59.32 18 25 A 7 ( 70- 35- 0) Mason City Newman -1.22 -5.78
6 10/05/2001 Home L * 62.08 28 48 1A 4 ( 89- 19- 0) Aplington AP 1.55 -21.55
7 10/12/2001 Away W * 78.72 39 34 1A 9 ( 69- 33- 0) Saint Ansgar 18.19 -13.19
8 10/19/2001 Away L 29.10 20 38 A 34 ( 30- 62- 0) Rockford -31.43 13.43
9 10/26/2001 Home W 77.05 38 0 ZZ 72 ( 34- 50- 0) Cedar Falls NU 16.51 21.49
10 09/07/2002 Away L 62.37 0 7 A 7 ( 70- 35- 0) Mason City Newman 1.84 -8.84
11 09/13/2002 Home L 26.39 7 40 A 14 ( 42- 49- 0) Belmond-Klemme -34.14 1.14
12 09/20/2002 Away L 37.47 0 27 1A 21 ( 48- 45- 0) South Hamilton -23.06 -3.94
13 09/27/2002 Home L 41.42 7 21 1A 30 ( 37- 57- 0) Manson NW Webster -19.11 5.11
14 10/04/2002 Away L 54.12 6 29 A 3 ( 75- 29- 0) Britt West Hancock -6.42 -16.58
15 10/11/2002 Home L 50.21 12 34 A 4 ( 75- 28- 0) Algona Garrigan -10.32 -11.68
16 10/18/2002 Away L 66.81 8 15 2A 8 ( 58- 41- 0) Fort Dodge St Edmond 6.28 -13.28
17 10/25/2002 Home W 41.91 15 14 A 37 ( 24- 67- 0) North Iowa -18.62 19.62
18 11/01/2002 Away L 11.80 14 43 A 41 ( 24- 67- 0) Burnside SE Webster -48.74 19.74
19 09/05/2003 Home L 46.32 20 40 A 7 ( 70- 35- 0) Mason City Newman -14.22 -5.78
20 09/12/2003 Away L 46.45 36 52 A 14 ( 42- 49- 0) Belmond-Klemme -14.09 -1.91
21 09/19/2003 Home L 40.42 0 21 1A 21 ( 48- 45- 0) South Hamilton -20.12 -0.88
22 09/26/2003 Away L 32.48 6 32 1A 30 ( 37- 57- 0) Manson NW Webster -28.06 2.06
23 10/03/2003 Home L 73.06 25 26 1 A 3 ( 75- 29- 0) Britt West Hancock 12.52 -13.52
24 10/10/2003 Away L 58.27 18 35 A 4 ( 75- 28- 0) Algona Garrigan -2.27 -14.73
25 10/17/2003 Home L 56.76 14 28 2A 8 ( 58- 41- 0) Fort Dodge St Edmond -3.78 -10.22
26 10/24/2003 Away L 40.97 29 32 A 37 ( 24- 67- 0) North Iowa -19.57 16.57
27 10/31/2003 Home L 11.74 23 49 A 41 ( 24- 67- 0) Burnside SE Webster -48.79 22.79
28 09/03/2004 Home L * 29.91 0 30 1A 24 ( 36- 58- 0) Garner-Hayfield -30.63 0.63
29 09/10/2004 Away L 45.86 14 41 A 5 ( 77- 27- 0) Northwood-Kensett -14.67 -12.33
30 09/17/2004 Home W 84.05 56 16 A 34 ( 30- 62- 0) Rockford 23.51 16.49
31 09/24/2004 Away W 56.20 24 14 A 35 ( 17- 47- 0) Greene North Butler -4.34 14.34
32 10/01/2004 Home L 53.21 14 33 A 4 ( 75- 28- 0) Algona Garrigan -7.32 -11.68
33 10/08/2004 Home W 81.32 30 15 A 7 ( 70- 35- 0) Mason City Newman 20.78 -5.78
34 10/15/2004 Away L * 71.14 7 21 1A 4 ( 89- 19- 0) Aplington AP 10.60 -24.60
35 10/22/2004 Away L * 59.72 14 28 1A 9 ( 69- 33- 0) Saint Ansgar -0.81 -13.19
36 10/29/2004 Home W 83.39 30 6 A 14 ( 42- 49- 0) Belmond-Klemme 22.86 1.14
37 09/02/2005 Away W * 81.96 26 7 1A 24 ( 36- 58- 0) Garner-Hayfield 21.43 -2.43
38 09/09/2005 Home W 84.81 22 7 A 5 ( 77- 27- 0) Northwood-Kensett 24.27 -9.27
39 09/16/2005 Away W 82.10 35 0 A 34 ( 30- 62- 0) Rockford 21.57 13.43
40 09/23/2005 Home W 66.14 35 12 A 35 ( 17- 47- 0) Greene North Butler 5.61 17.39
41 09/30/2005 Away L 65.27 19 29 A 4 ( 75- 28- 0) Algona Garrigan 4.73 -14.73
42 10/07/2005 Away W 88.37 50 31 A 7 ( 70- 35- 0) Mason City Newman 27.84 -8.84
43 10/14/2005 Home L * 65.08 12 29 1A 4 ( 89- 19- 0) Aplington AP 4.55 -21.55
44 10/21/2005 Home L * 54.67 26 42 1A 9 ( 69- 33- 0) Saint Ansgar -5.87 -10.13
45 10/28/2005 Away W 104.45 48 6 A 14 ( 42- 49- 0) Belmond-Klemme 43.91 -1.91
46 09/01/2006 Home W * 85.91 26 0 1A 24 ( 36- 58- 0) Garner-Hayfield 25.37 0.63
47 09/09/2006 Away W 70.26 27 21 2A 26 ( 45- 47- 0) Clarion-Goldfield 9.73 -3.73
48 09/15/2006 Away W * 82.36 32 6 1A 34 ( 37- 55- 0) Nashua-Plainfield 21.83 4.17
49 09/22/2006 Home W 81.91 41 0 A 37 ( 24- 67- 0) North Iowa 21.38 19.62
50 09/29/2006 Home L * 64.67 21 27 1A 9 ( 69- 33- 0) Saint Ansgar 4.13 -10.13
51 10/06/2006 Away L 60.37 18 27 A 7 ( 70- 35- 0) Mason City Newman -0.16 -8.84
52 10/13/2006 Home W 48.14 19 14 A 35 ( 17- 47- 0) Greene North Butler -12.39 17.39
53 10/20/2006 Away W 73.10 42 16 A 34 ( 30- 62- 0) Rockford 12.57 13.43
54 10/27/2006 Home W 94.40 25 0 1A 13 ( 64- 32- 0) Turkey Valley 33.87 -8.87
55 11/01/2006 Neutral L 35.80 22 34 A 31 ( 45- 49- 0) Edgewood-Colesburg -24.73 12.73
56 08/31/2007 Away W * 89.96 47 20 1A 24 ( 36- 58- 0) Garner-Hayfield 29.43 -2.43
57 09/07/2007 Home L 46.21 6 21 2A 26 ( 45- 47- 0) Clarion-Goldfield -14.33 -0.67
58 09/14/2007 Home W * 86.31 42 9 1A 34 ( 37- 55- 0) Nashua-Plainfield 25.77 7.23
59 09/21/2007 Away W 77.97 42 8 A 37 ( 24- 67- 0) North Iowa 17.43 16.57
60 09/28/2007 Away L * 70.72 7 10 1A 9 ( 69- 33- 0) Saint Ansgar 10.19 -13.19
61 10/05/2007 Home L 58.32 20 28 A 7 ( 70- 35- 0) Mason City Newman -2.22 -5.78
62 10/12/2007 Away W 88.20 63 21 A 35 ( 17- 47- 0) Greene North Butler 27.66 14.34
63 10/19/2007 Home W 84.05 46 6 A 34 ( 30- 62- 0) Rockford 23.51 16.49
64 10/26/2007 Away W 106.46 34 0 1A 13 ( 64- 32- 0) Turkey Valley 45.92 -11.92
65 08/29/2008 Home L 63.81 0 6 A 5 ( 77- 27- 0) Northwood-Kensett 3.27 -9.27 non-district
66 09/05/2008 Away L 37.67 6 28 2A 37 ( 24- 66- 0) Forest City -22.87 0.87 non-district
67 09/12/2008 Away W * 78.72 19 14 1A 9 ( 69- 33- 0) Saint Ansgar 18.19 -13.19
68 09/19/2008 Home L * 52.91 21 28 1A 24 ( 36- 58- 0) Garner-Hayfield -7.63 0.63
69 09/26/2008 Home W 79.39 41 21 A 14 ( 42- 49- 0) Belmond-Klemme 18.86 1.14
70 10/03/2008 Away L 62.12 12 27 A 3 ( 75- 29- 0) Britt West Hancock 1.58 -16.58 homecoming
71 10/10/2008 Home L * 24.54 21 42 1A 47 ( 9- 19- 0) Sheffield West Fork -35.99 14.99
72 10/17/2008 Away L 43.81 18 48 2A 8 ( 58- 41- 0) Fort Dodge St Edmond -16.72 -13.28
73 10/24/2008 Home L 49.06 21 59 1A 2 ( 97- 18- 0) Emmetsburg -11.47 -26.53
74 08/28/2009 Away L 63.86 7 16 A 5 ( 77- 27- 0) Northwood-Kensett 3.33 -12.33 nd
75 09/04/2009 Home L 55.61 20 21 2A 37 ( 24- 66- 0) Forest City -4.93 3.93 nd
76 09/11/2009 Home L * 55.67 13 28 1A 9 ( 69- 33- 0) Saint Ansgar -4.87 -10.13
77 09/18/2009 Away W * 70.96 28 20 1A 24 ( 36- 58- 0) Garner-Hayfield 10.43 -2.43
78 09/25/2009 Away W 71.45 16 7 A 14 ( 42- 49- 0) Belmond-Klemme 10.91 -1.91
79 10/02/2009 Home W 98.06 42 18 A 3 ( 75- 29- 0) Britt West Hancock 37.52 -13.52
80 10/09/2009 Away W * 76.60 41 13 1A 47 ( 9- 19- 0) Sheffield West Fork 16.06 11.94
81 10/16/2009 Home W 72.76 8 6 2A 8 ( 58- 41- 0) Fort Dodge St Edmond 12.22 -10.22
82 10/23/2009 Away L 45.12 6 51 1A 2 ( 97- 18- 0) Emmetsburg -15.42 -29.58
83 10/28/2009 Away L 27.19 6 42 2A 29 ( 36- 61- 0) South Winneshiek -33.35 -2.65
84 08/27/2010 Home W 76.81 14 7 A 5 ( 77- 27- 0) Northwood-Kensett 16.27 -9.27 ND
85 09/03/2010 Away L 48.12 6 35 A 3 ( 75- 29- 0) Britt West Hancock -12.42 -16.58 ND
86 09/10/2010 Away L * 48.96 22 36 1A 24 ( 36- 58- 0) Garner-Hayfield -11.57 -2.43
87 09/17/2010 Home W * 78.09 27 7 1A 26 ( 42- 52- 0) Ackley AGWSR 17.56 2.44
88 09/24/2010 Home L * 49.59 18 41 1A 8 ( 75- 34- 0) Dike-New Hartford -10.95 -12.05
89 10/01/2010 Away L * 39.72 7 41 1A 9 ( 69- 33- 0) Saint Ansgar -20.81 -13.19
90 10/08/2010 Home W * 74.31 31 10 1A 34 ( 37- 55- 0) Nashua-Plainfield 13.77 7.23
91 10/15/2010 Away L * 38.60 22 32 1A 47 ( 9- 19- 0) Sheffield West Fork -21.94 11.94
92 10/22/2010 Home L * 44.08 14 52 1A 4 ( 89- 19- 0) Aplington AP -16.45 -21.55
Averages 60.61 21.3 23.8
Best game: 106.46 = 34 point win over Jackson Junction Turkey Valley
Worst game: 11.74 = 26 point loss to Burnside Southeast Webster
Team stdev: 20.49