BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Lake Mills

Class: 1A Class Rank: 25 Conference: North Iowa Record: (14-18-0) Overall: (36-56-0) Overall Strength =   60.61

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/31/2001 Home    L      30.81   0  39    A  4 ( 77- 27-  0) Northwood-Kensett     -29.73     -9.27                      
 2 09/07/2001 Away    L *    44.45   0  18    A 13 ( 42- 49-  0) Belmond-Klemme        -16.09     -1.91                      
 3 09/15/2001 Home    L      36.42  13  35   ZZ 28 ( 17- 12-  0) Sumner                -24.11      2.11                      
 4 09/21/2001 Away    L      68.46  12  16   1A 12 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley           7.92    -11.92                      
 5 09/28/2001 Home    L *    59.32  18  25    A  6 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman      -1.22     -5.78                      
 6 10/05/2001 Home    L   *  62.08  28  48   1A  3 ( 89- 19-  0) Aplington AP            1.55    -21.55                      
 7 10/12/2001 Away    W   *  78.72  39  34   1A  8 ( 69- 33-  0) Saint Ansgar           18.19    -13.19                      
 8 10/19/2001 Away    L      29.10  20  38    A 33 ( 30- 62-  0) Rockford              -31.43     13.43                      
 9 10/26/2001 Home    W      77.05  38   0   ZZ 56 ( 34- 50-  0) Cedar Falls NU         16.51     21.49                      
10 09/07/2002 Away    L *    62.37   0   7    A  6 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman       1.84     -8.84                      
11 09/13/2002 Home    L *    26.39   7  40    A 13 ( 42- 49-  0) Belmond-Klemme        -34.14      1.14                      
12 09/20/2002 Away    L      37.47   0  27   1A 21 ( 48- 45-  0) South Hamilton        -23.06     -3.94                      
13 09/27/2002 Home    L      41.42   7  21   1A 30 ( 37- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster     -19.11      5.11                      
14 10/04/2002 Away    L *    54.12   6  29    A  2 ( 75- 29-  0) Britt West Hancock     -6.42    -16.58                      
15 10/11/2002 Home    L      50.21  12  34    A  3 ( 75- 28-  0) Algona Garrigan       -10.32    -11.68                      
16 10/18/2002 Away    L      66.81   8  15   2A  7 ( 58- 41-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond    6.28    -13.28                      
17 10/25/2002 Home    W *    41.91  15  14    A 37 ( 24- 67-  0) North Iowa            -18.62     19.62                      
18 11/01/2002 Away    L      11.80  14  43    A 41 ( 24- 67-  0) Burnside SE Webster   -48.74     19.74                      
19 09/05/2003 Home    L *    46.32  20  40    A  6 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman     -14.22     -5.78                      
20 09/12/2003 Away    L *    46.45  36  52    A 13 ( 42- 49-  0) Belmond-Klemme        -14.09     -1.91                      
21 09/19/2003 Home    L      40.42   0  21   1A 21 ( 48- 45-  0) South Hamilton        -20.12     -0.88                      
22 09/26/2003 Away    L      32.48   6  32   1A 30 ( 37- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster     -28.06      2.06                      
23 10/03/2003 Home    L *    73.06  25  26 1  A  2 ( 75- 29-  0) Britt West Hancock     12.52    -13.52                      
24 10/10/2003 Away    L      58.27  18  35    A  3 ( 75- 28-  0) Algona Garrigan        -2.27    -14.73                      
25 10/17/2003 Home    L      56.76  14  28   2A  7 ( 58- 41-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   -3.78    -10.22                      
26 10/24/2003 Away    L *    40.97  29  32    A 37 ( 24- 67-  0) North Iowa            -19.57     16.57                      
27 10/31/2003 Home    L      11.74  23  49    A 41 ( 24- 67-  0) Burnside SE Webster   -48.79     22.79                      
28 09/03/2004 Home    L * *  29.91   0  30   1A 24 ( 36- 58-  0) Garner-Hayfield       -30.63      0.63                      
29 09/10/2004 Away    L      45.86  14  41    A  4 ( 77- 27-  0) Northwood-Kensett     -14.67    -12.33                      
30 09/17/2004 Home    W      84.05  56  16    A 33 ( 30- 62-  0) Rockford               23.51     16.49                      
31 09/24/2004 Away    W      56.20  24  14    A 35 ( 17- 47-  0) Greene North Butler    -4.34     14.34                      
32 10/01/2004 Home    L      53.21  14  33    A  3 ( 75- 28-  0) Algona Garrigan        -7.32    -11.68                      
33 10/08/2004 Home    W *    81.32  30  15    A  6 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman      20.78     -5.78                      
34 10/15/2004 Away    L   *  71.14   7  21   1A  3 ( 89- 19-  0) Aplington AP           10.60    -24.60                      
35 10/22/2004 Away    L   *  59.72  14  28   1A  8 ( 69- 33-  0) Saint Ansgar           -0.81    -13.19                      
36 10/29/2004 Home    W *    83.39  30   6    A 13 ( 42- 49-  0) Belmond-Klemme         22.86      1.14                      
37 09/02/2005 Away    W * *  81.96  26   7   1A 24 ( 36- 58-  0) Garner-Hayfield        21.43     -2.43                      
38 09/09/2005 Home    W      84.81  22   7    A  4 ( 77- 27-  0) Northwood-Kensett      24.27     -9.27                      
39 09/16/2005 Away    W      82.10  35   0    A 33 ( 30- 62-  0) Rockford               21.57     13.43                      
40 09/23/2005 Home    W      66.14  35  12    A 35 ( 17- 47-  0) Greene North Butler     5.61     17.39                      
41 09/30/2005 Away    L      65.27  19  29    A  3 ( 75- 28-  0) Algona Garrigan         4.73    -14.73                      
42 10/07/2005 Away    W *    88.37  50  31    A  6 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman      27.84     -8.84                      
43 10/14/2005 Home    L   *  65.08  12  29   1A  3 ( 89- 19-  0) Aplington AP            4.55    -21.55                      
44 10/21/2005 Home    L   *  54.67  26  42   1A  8 ( 69- 33-  0) Saint Ansgar           -5.87    -10.13                      
45 10/28/2005 Away    W *   104.45  48   6    A 13 ( 42- 49-  0) Belmond-Klemme         43.91     -1.91                      
46 09/01/2006 Home    W * *  85.91  26   0   1A 24 ( 36- 58-  0) Garner-Hayfield        25.37      0.63                      
47 09/09/2006 Away    W      70.26  27  21   2A 26 ( 45- 47-  0) Clarion-Goldfield       9.73     -3.73                      
48 09/15/2006 Away    W   *  82.36  32   6   1A 34 ( 37- 55-  0) Nashua-Plainfield      21.83      4.17                      
49 09/22/2006 Home    W *    81.91  41   0    A 37 ( 24- 67-  0) North Iowa             21.38     19.62                      
50 09/29/2006 Home    L   *  64.67  21  27   1A  8 ( 69- 33-  0) Saint Ansgar            4.13    -10.13                      
51 10/06/2006 Away    L *    60.37  18  27    A  6 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman      -0.16     -8.84                      
52 10/13/2006 Home    W      48.14  19  14    A 35 ( 17- 47-  0) Greene North Butler   -12.39     17.39                      
53 10/20/2006 Away    W      73.10  42  16    A 33 ( 30- 62-  0) Rockford               12.57     13.43                      
54 10/27/2006 Home    W      94.40  25   0   1A 12 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley          33.87     -8.87                      
55 11/01/2006 Neutral L      35.80  22  34    A 30 ( 45- 49-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -24.73     12.73                      
56 08/31/2007 Away    W * *  89.96  47  20   1A 24 ( 36- 58-  0) Garner-Hayfield        29.43     -2.43                      
57 09/07/2007 Home    L      46.21   6  21   2A 26 ( 45- 47-  0) Clarion-Goldfield     -14.33     -0.67                      
58 09/14/2007 Home    W   *  86.31  42   9   1A 34 ( 37- 55-  0) Nashua-Plainfield      25.77      7.23                      
59 09/21/2007 Away    W *    77.97  42   8    A 37 ( 24- 67-  0) North Iowa             17.43     16.57                      
60 09/28/2007 Away    L   *  70.72   7  10   1A  8 ( 69- 33-  0) Saint Ansgar           10.19    -13.19                      
61 10/05/2007 Home    L *    58.32  20  28    A  6 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman      -2.22     -5.78                      
62 10/12/2007 Away    W      88.20  63  21    A 35 ( 17- 47-  0) Greene North Butler    27.66     14.34                      
63 10/19/2007 Home    W      84.05  46   6    A 33 ( 30- 62-  0) Rockford               23.51     16.49                      
64 10/26/2007 Away    W     106.46  34   0   1A 12 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley          45.92    -11.92                      
65 08/29/2008 Home    L      63.81   0   6    A  4 ( 77- 27-  0) Northwood-Kensett       3.27     -9.27  non-district        
66 09/05/2008 Away    L *    37.67   6  28   2A 37 ( 24- 66-  0) Forest City           -22.87      0.87  non-district        
67 09/12/2008 Away    W   *  78.72  19  14   1A  8 ( 69- 33-  0) Saint Ansgar           18.19    -13.19                      
68 09/19/2008 Home    L * *  52.91  21  28   1A 24 ( 36- 58-  0) Garner-Hayfield        -7.63      0.63                      
69 09/26/2008 Home    W *    79.39  41  21    A 13 ( 42- 49-  0) Belmond-Klemme         18.86      1.14                      
70 10/03/2008 Away    L *    62.12  12  27    A  2 ( 75- 29-  0) Britt West Hancock      1.58    -16.58  homecoming          
71 10/10/2008 Home    L   *  24.54  21  42   1A 47 (  9- 19-  0) Sheffield West Fork   -35.99     14.99                      
72 10/17/2008 Away    L      43.81  18  48   2A  7 ( 58- 41-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond  -16.72    -13.28                      
73 10/24/2008 Home    L      49.06  21  59   1A  1 ( 97- 18-  0) Emmetsburg            -11.47    -26.53                      
74 08/28/2009 Away    L      63.86   7  16    A  4 ( 77- 27-  0) Northwood-Kensett       3.33    -12.33  nd                  
75 09/04/2009 Home    L *    55.61  20  21   2A 37 ( 24- 66-  0) Forest City            -4.93      3.93  nd                  
76 09/11/2009 Home    L   *  55.67  13  28   1A  8 ( 69- 33-  0) Saint Ansgar           -4.87    -10.13                      
77 09/18/2009 Away    W * *  70.96  28  20   1A 24 ( 36- 58-  0) Garner-Hayfield        10.43     -2.43                      
78 09/25/2009 Away    W *    71.45  16   7    A 13 ( 42- 49-  0) Belmond-Klemme         10.91     -1.91                      
79 10/02/2009 Home    W *    98.06  42  18    A  2 ( 75- 29-  0) Britt West Hancock     37.52    -13.52                      
80 10/09/2009 Away    W   *  76.60  41  13   1A 47 (  9- 19-  0) Sheffield West Fork    16.06     11.94                      
81 10/16/2009 Home    W      72.76   8   6   2A  7 ( 58- 41-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   12.22    -10.22                      
82 10/23/2009 Away    L      45.12   6  51   1A  1 ( 97- 18-  0) Emmetsburg            -15.42    -29.58                      
83 10/28/2009 Away    L      27.19   6  42   2A 29 ( 36- 61-  0) South Winneshiek      -33.35     -2.65                      
84 08/27/2010 Home    W      76.81  14   7    A  4 ( 77- 27-  0) Northwood-Kensett      16.27     -9.27  ND                  
85 09/03/2010 Away    L *    48.12   6  35    A  2 ( 75- 29-  0) Britt West Hancock    -12.42    -16.58  ND                  
86 09/10/2010 Away    L * *  48.96  22  36   1A 24 ( 36- 58-  0) Garner-Hayfield       -11.57     -2.43                      
87 09/17/2010 Home    W   *  78.09  27   7   1A 26 ( 42- 52-  0) Ackley AGWSR           17.56      2.44                      
88 09/24/2010 Home    L   *  49.59  18  41   1A  7 ( 75- 34-  0) Dike-New Hartford     -10.95    -12.05                      
89 10/01/2010 Away    L   *  39.72   7  41   1A  8 ( 69- 33-  0) Saint Ansgar          -20.81    -13.19                      
90 10/08/2010 Home    W   *  74.31  31  10   1A 34 ( 37- 55-  0) Nashua-Plainfield      13.77      7.23                      
91 10/15/2010 Away    L   *  38.60  22  32   1A 47 (  9- 19-  0) Sheffield West Fork   -21.94     11.94                      
92 10/22/2010 Home    L   *  44.08  14  52   1A  3 ( 89- 19-  0) Aplington AP          -16.45    -21.55                      
      Averages              60.61  21.3 23.8

Best game:  106.46 = 34 point win over Jackson Junction Turkey Valley
Worst game:  11.74 = 26 point loss to Burnside Southeast Webster
Team stdev:  20.49